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Thursday, August 13, 2026

JLL: Northeast industrial leasing on pace for best year since 2021, despite economic headwinds

Kossar says demand for Class A warehouse space is holding strong even as inflation, Middle East conflict and freight costs weigh on the broader economy

Inflation. Conflict in the Middle East. Rising freight costs. On paper, it reads like a checklist for a slowdown in industrial real estate.

Instead, leasing activity across the Northeast industrial market is on pace for its strongest year since 2021, according to JLL’s Q2 2026 Northeast Industrial report. More than 80 million square feet of active tenant requirements are currently in the market, with Class A leasing driven by a jump in large investment-grade tenant requirements.

Rob Kossar, vice chairman and head of JLL’s Northeast Industrial Region, said companies aren’t waiting for economic clarity before making real estate decisions.

“What’s particularly notable is that companies aren’t sitting on the sidelines waiting for uncertainty to clear,” he said. “There has been a noticeable increase in large leasing requirements from investment-grade tenants, while continued expansion by Chinese third-party logistics providers and e-commerce users is creating another important source of demand across the region.”

The “flight to quality” trend has held steady, too. Occupiers continue to chase newer Class A facilities, and with very few large-format buildings available — especially in the mega-box segment — that high-quality space keeps attracting strong interest. Regional vacancy has held at 5.9% for 15 straight months.

How’s is this happening? Let’s start with the state staples.

E-commerce and logistics remain the biggest engines of demand. Amazon continues to gain parcel market share, while Chinese third-party logistics and e-commerce companies have leased 22.7 million square feet across the region over the past two and a half years.

On the supply side, builders have kept their foot off the gas. Construction is running roughly 50% below its peak, and while development has started to tick up in parts of Pennsylvania, the overall pipeline remains limited — something Kossar said is helping keep the market from tipping out of balance.

“On the supply side, construction remains well below the levels we saw a few years ago,” Kossar said. “While development has started to pick up in parts of Pennsylvania, the overall pipeline is still relatively limited, which is helping keep the market balanced as demand continues to absorb new supply.”

Kossar said the resilience comes down to companies needing supply chains that can hold up regardless of what’s happening in the headlines.

“The headlines continue to focus on inflation, geopolitical conflict and rising transportation costs, but companies still need resilient supply chains,” he said. “That’s why we’re seeing occupiers make long-term real estate decisions instead of waiting for perfect economic conditions. Businesses are prioritizing network efficiency, modern facilities and proximity to consumers, and those factors continue to support healthy demand across the Northeast despite the uncertainty.”

JLL expects leasing activity to stay strong through the rest of 2026, with vacancy trending lower — particularly for Class A space — while rents hold generally steady and capital markets continue to improve.

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